Selectivity and demographic change in the anchovy fishery
Scientific question
Has the selectivity of the industrial anchovy fishery changed through time, and how are those changes associated with seasonality, fleet characteristics, management regimes, and the demographic structure of the stock?
Evidence base
The project combines paired acoustic-survey and fishing-season information, length-frequency distributions, vessel and season descriptors, regulatory periods, and biological reference information.
Methods
- Logistic selectivity models.
- Estimation of length at 50% selection and selection range.
- Mann–Kendall tests and Sen slopes for temporal trends.
- Structural-break and change-point analysis.
- Seasonal and regulatory-period comparisons.
- Length–age key evaluation and demographic interpretation.
Current status
Active manuscript and methodological development. The analysis evaluates long-term trends, seasonal contrasts, fleet-related differences, and changes in the exposure of juvenile fish to the fishery.
Expected outputs
- Long-term selectivity time series.
- Comparative length–age framework.
- Peer-reviewed manuscript on selectivity and demographic consequences.
- Reproducible code and diagnostic visualizations.
Repository architecture
A canonical paper repository will be linked here once its current structure and public status are verified. Until then, this page remains the stable public project record rather than pointing to a provisional or legacy repository.